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Watching the Wire: May 2-8

May 2, 2011

An easy way to improve your team’s numbers in the pitching categories in roto and head-to-head leagues is to stream pitchers – pick pitchers up off the waiver wire multiple times a week and plug them into your lineup. In most standard leagues of 10 or 12 teams there are always several stream-worthy options on the wire whom you can pick up, get their stats and then drop for another streamer.

Some times you’ll get screwed and your streamer will drop a turd on you (Think 4 innings, 5 runs, few K’s) and sometimes you’ll get an early Christmas present (think Bud Norris’s most recent start). But that’s the way it goes with streaming pitchers. If you play your cards right and look at the matchups and strikeout numbers, more often than not you’ll benefit from streaming pitchers.

Here are several pitchers owned in less than 30 percent of ESPN leagues whom you could pick up and stream this week to help your team.

Edwin Jackson – Tuesday vs Minnesota – Jackson’s had three rough outings in a row, but digging into the numbers he’s been very unlucky: His opponents’ BABIP is .357, which is very high. His FIP (fielding independent pitching, which basically removes most of the luck factor from a pitcher’s ERA) is two runs lower than his ERA. Jackson’s 8.15 K/9 rate is stellar, and as long as he doesn’t give up eight runs he should be able to help you with his strikeouts. Also, the Twins suck. They’ve only scored 85 runs this year, hit 12 homers and are batting only .230.

Kevin Correia – Wednesday vs San Diego – KC has four wins and has only had one really bad start this year. He hasn’t walked more than two batters in any start this year, and he’s only allowed 35 hits in 40 innings. The Padres are batting only .211 this year and are barely averaging over two runs a game at home this year.

Fausto Carmona – Tuesday vs Oakland – Carmona’s been excellent in four of his six starts this year, and Tuesday should be no different. The A’s are batting only .250 at home this year, and in his four good starts Carmona has only allowed 18 hits in 28.2 innings. You’re taking a risk here because he could blow up, and his K-rate doesn’t make him as appealing as Jackson, but Carmona has been pleasantly good this year and the A’s don’t offer much of a potent offense.

Phillip Humber – Friday vs Seattle – Humber almost no-hit the Yankees two starts ago, and in his last two starts has only given up four hits in 14 innings. Seattle’s offense is absolutely miserable, and SafeCo is a pitcher’s haven.

Bud Norris – Saturday vs Pittsburgh – Somehow Norris is only owned in 17 percent of ESPN leagues despite ranking fifth in the NL in strikeouts (43). He’s struck out at least six in every start this year, and K’d 11 yesterday against Milwaukee. He’s allowed three earned runs in his last 25.2 innings, and Pittsburgh is scoring fewer than three runs per game at home this year. Norris has raised his K rate 1.6 strikeouts/9 this year and has lowered his walk rate 1.5/9 this year. Playing the matchups with Norris is still a good idea, but he’s in the NL and has been dominant lately so it’s safe to roster him in pretty much every league.

Hopefully I can turn this into a weekly feature and compile the stats of the pitchers I recommend to see how I do.


From → Fantasy Baseball

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