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Watching the Wire: May 30-June 5

May 30, 2011

Last week’s Wire was one of the best. Besides learning that Season 1, Disc 3 from Netflix was cracked when it got to my house, my pitcher picks were absolutely stellar. John Lannan went 7.2 innings, two hits, two walks, five K’s and no runs. J.A. Happ went five innings and only gave up one earned run. Ted Lilly – six innings, one run. Erik Bedard – six innings, no runs. Nick Blackburn – complete game, two runs, six K’s, no walks. Lets see if we can repeat last week’s success.

Jeremy Guthrie, Tuesday vs Seattle – We’ll pick on Seattle again. In May the Mariners rank second to last in runs scored, are only batting .232 and are getting on base less than 30 percent of the time. Despite a four-earned-run performance last week against Kansas City, in which he only gave up nine hits in seven innings without walking a batter, Guthrie’s been pretty good lately. He’s going deep into games (seven or more innings in four of his last five starts), and he has a 17:4 K:BB in his last four starts. Guthrie’s only got two wins on the year, but his WHIP and ERA should be able to help your team.

Aaron Harang, Saturday vs Houston – In his last three starts Harang has a 1.28 ERA with a 16:5 K:BB. At home he’s got much better stats than on the road, and you’ve always got to take advantage of Petco. The ‘Stros are scoring about 3.5 runs a game in May and have struck out 208 times so far, third most in the majors. It’s possible this game will be a 1-0 slugfest, and Harang probably won’t get the win (although he does have five on the year so far). But, as with Guthrie, his ratios should help your team.

J.A. Happ, Friday vs San Diego – We’re gonna stay in San Diego and go with Happ for a second week in a row. Happ has quality starts in four of his last five starts, the lone exception being a five-inning, one-run performance. During that time he’s struck out eight twice, but his K:BB isn’t too good (27:16). But we’ll ride Happ for as long as we can, and when you can play the Padres in San Diego, you almost always have to take it. The Padres have a .199 team average at home this season, and are averaging only 2.24 runs per game at home. Happ should help your strikeouts and ERA, at least, in this start.

Charlie Morton, Saturday vs Philadelphia – What do the Phillies, Lady Gaga and Alex Rodriguez have in common? The name is worth more than the product. From 2005-2010, the Phillies had one of the best offenses in the league. But that’s not the case anymore. Age, injuries and age again have caught up to the Phillies and made them a lower-third-tier team in terms of runs in the majors. Morton’s had three great starts in a row, including a complete-game shutout against the Reds. Morton’s inducing groundballs on 62.5 percent of balls put in play against him, which is good for second in the majors. He’s keeping the ball in the park (only two homers allowed), which plays well against the Phillies. A weak supportive offense behind him might make it hard to get a W from Morton, but we’ll take our chances that he can provide enough support in ERA and WHIP.

Edwin Jackson, Saturday vs Detroit – Alright, time to get some strikeouts. Jackson has 20 in his last 17.2 innings, but his 5.60 and 1.75 ratios in that same span aren’t that appealing. If you’ve got room to spare in the ratio categories take a flier on Jackson against the Tigers, who rank in the top half in strikeouts-against in the majors in May.


From → Fantasy Baseball

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